Jun 15, 2026
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5 min read
The US and Iran struck a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, oil is falling, and that matters more for your mortgage rate than the 3-year-high inflation print that landed last week.
Jun 8, 2026
4 min read
Payrolls blew past expectations, the 30-year fixed climbed to 6.66%, and frustrated sellers are walking away from the spring market.
Jun 1, 2026
April inflation hit a three-year high, but rates fell anyway as oil pulled back on Iran ceasefire hopes, and for the first time in a while markets are pricing a Fed hike instead of a cut.
May 25, 2026
Warsh is sworn in, the April FOMC minutes go hawkish, and the market is now pricing a possible hike instead of a cut.
May 18, 2026
6 min read
Inflation came in hot on both CPI and PPI, the rate-hike conversation is back, and mortgage rates ended the week at 6.65%
May 11, 2026
April payrolls came in nearly double expectations and bonds barely flinched, while consumer sentiment hit the lowest reading on record since 1952.
May 4, 2026
The Fed held rates with the most dissents since 1992, hot Q1 PCE shut the door on a June cut, and Central Ohio inventory pushes to 4,000 homes.
Apr 27, 2026
The Iran war kept mortgage rates locked in a 3 bp range last week while consumer sentiment crashed to the lowest reading on record.
Apr 20, 2026
A soft PPI print and a Middle East ceasefire sent bond yields lower and mortgage rates to 6.29%, while NAHB sentiment collapsed on economic uncertainty.
Apr 13, 2026
9 min read
Five days of lower rates just hit a wall. Here's what the Hormuz blockade, March CPI, and the FOMC minutes mean for the spring market.